prediction-market-maker-bot

Unverified Market-making strategy on Multi by apostleoffinance. BotFinder score 18 out of 100.

Market-making execution bot for binary prediction markets with adaptive pricing, inventory management, and risk controls. Rust implementations.

Source: github

Explorer/Multi/prediction-market-maker-bot
18
Data index
MultiMarket-makingMedium risk⚠ UnverifiedNEW

prediction-market-maker-bot

apostleoffinanceGitHub
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Net return
—
Max drawdown
—
Sharpe
—
Profit factor
—
Win rate
—
Track record
0.8y
BotFinder Analysis

BotFinder analysis pending.

About

prediction-market-maker-bot

Quant Execution Bot - Rust Implementation A high-performance market-making execution bot for binary event contracts (prediction markets) implemented in Rust. 🚀 Features - Adaptive Spread Management: Dynamically adjusts spreads based on order flow imbalance and inventory - Inventory Skew: Shades mid prices to manage accumulated positions - Risk Controls: Inventory limits, exposure limits, and drawdown tracking - Mean Reversion: Mid prices slowly revert toward fair value (0.5) - Deterministic Simulation: Reproducible results with seeded RNG 📁 Project Structure 🛠️ Build & Run Prerequisites - Rust 1.70+ (install via rustup) Build Run Expected Output 📊 Output Files | File | Description | |------|-------------| | simulationreport.csv | Final metrics for all markets (PnL, fills, drawdown, etc.) | | trace.json | Step-by-step time-series data for analysis | 🏪 Simulated Markets | Market | Initial Mid | Description | |--------|-------------|-------------| | inflationgt20 | 0.30 | "Will inflation exceed 20%?" | | electioncandidatea | 0.55 | "Will Candidate A win?" | | teamxwins | 0.50 | "Will Te

RustOpen-sourcemarket-makingpolymarketprediction-marketsquantitative-financerustsimulationtrading-bot
Track record

⚠ No verified equity curve — no track-record source connected.

Risk

Drawdown profile

Data unavailable — contact the owner.

Evidence

Verification ledger

Live-audited
Broker-verified
Capital-backed
Tamper-proof
Historical evolution

How the score has moved

Recalculated at each data collection. Transparency means showing the bad weeks too.

No score history is stored yet — only the current score is shown.

Reviews

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Live monitoring

⚠ No live verification account connected — ask for proof before buying.

Alerts on changes: coming soon

Prop-firm compatibility

Prop-firm compatibility not provided.

Source
apostleoffinance
Since 2015 · 1 bots

Open-source maintainer on GitHub.

Trust 0Profile
Score & reliability18/100
Perf data0/35
Community0/25
Evidence8/20
Recency10/10
Verification0/10

Data-completeness & trust index (not a profitability rating)

Source facts
Stars15
Forks4
Open issues0
LanguageRust
License—
Last update2026-01-14
Created2025-12-25
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prediction-market-maker-bot by apostleoffinance — Unverified | BotFinder