openthomas

Unverified ML strategy on Multi by PredictionMarketTrader. BotFinder score 18 out of 100.

A self-improving weather forecasting & trading agent, in public.

Source: github

Explorer/Multi/openthomas
18
Data index
MultiMLMedium risk⚠ UnverifiedNEW

openthomas

PredictionMarketTraderGitHub
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Net return
—
Max drawdown
—
Sharpe
—
Profit factor
—
Win rate
—
Track record
0.3y
BotFinder Analysis

BotFinder analysis pending.

About

openthomas

OpenThomas — the weather trader for prediction markets An autonomous AI agent that trades weather markets on Kalshi and Polymarket. It knows the exact NWS station each market settles on, builds a probability for every strike from a seven-model forecast consensus, learns each station's systematic bias from months of leak-free hindcasts, lets an LLM adjust — within hard bounds — for what the statistics can't see, and sizes every position with fractional Kelly under risk limits no model can override. It learns from every settled degree. No wallet, no exchange API keys needed to start: paper mode simulates fills against real Polymarket + Kalshi order books. You only connect real money after you've watched it trade. ⚠️ Prediction market trading can lose all the money you allocate. OpenThomas ships with paper trading as the default, hard position limits, and a drawdown kill-switch — but no software makes trading safe. Roughly 70% of Polymarket addresses have lost money. This is not financial advice. --- Why another trading bot? Because the LLM is not the edge. The Prediction Arena benchmar

PythonMITOpen-sourceai-agentalgorithmic-tradingautonomous-agentbuild-in-publicforecastingkalshikelly-criterionllm
Track record

⚠ No verified equity curve — no track-record source connected.

Risk

Drawdown profile

Data unavailable — contact the owner.

Evidence

Verification ledger

Live-audited
Broker-verified
Capital-backed
Tamper-proof
Historical evolution

How the score has moved

Recalculated at each data collection. Transparency means showing the bad weeks too.

No score history is stored yet — only the current score is shown.

Reviews

Reviews & comments

No reviews collected from the source yet.

Live monitoring

⚠ No live verification account connected — ask for proof before buying.

Alerts on changes: coming soon

Prop-firm compatibility

Prop-firm compatibility not provided.

Source
PredictionMarketTrader
Since 2012 · 1 bots

Open-source maintainer on GitHub.

Trust 0Profile
Score & reliability18/100
Perf data0/35
Community0/25
Evidence8/20
Recency10/10
Verification0/10

Data-completeness & trust index (not a profitability rating)

Source facts
Stars16
Forks2
Open issues0
LanguagePython
LicenseMIT
Last update2026-09-12
Created2026-07-03
Website
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